Daytona Real Estate Sales Up in May 2010

A 1.6% increase may not seem like much. That’s what we saw in May over April sales. That’s not the news. The news is that we are up 23.5% year over year when we compare May of this year against last year. Local Daytona Beach home sales gains over 2009 are holding.

For the first five month of 2010 sales are up 30.4% over 2009. We’ve sold 428 more homes and condos than during the same period last year. That’s the important trend. Even if sales were to stay steady, or even decline slightly, on a month to month basis, the market has regained a lot of its strength lost during 2007 and 2008.

The composition of sales however has changed radically. Most home sales are still occurring in the under $200,000 price range. Take a look at the chart below and you will see how sales under $200,000 dominate the market.

80.5% of sales in May were under $200,000. Add the 11% of sales between $200,000 and $300,000 and the total rises to 91.5%. Only 36 of the 426 homes and condos sold were sold for over $300,000. This is a trend that we have seen for over two years and is still increasing slightly. In April, 90.4% of sales were under $300,000.

What Do May Numbers Mean?

First, with sales under $200,000 dominating the market at 90.5% of all sales, homes and condos in this price range are going to sell faster for sellers. For buyers, homes in the this price range that are priced right, will have more competition with other buyers. It’s not unusual for an aggressively priced bank-owned foreclosure property under $200,000 to have multiple offers and a bit of a bidding war.

Second, more expensive homes and condos have significantly lower sales and less competition. Homes and condos over $300,000 must jump out as a significant value. The listing price must be backed up by value. An attractive, properly priced listing in any price range must have its value showcased and made clear to prospective buyers.

Three Factors to Watch

We see three factors to watch closely this year to time your home purchase:

• Home Prices
• Mortgage Rates
• Inflation

It’s rising prices you need to be watching. No, we are not seeing rising prices yet, but it will happen. Some markets are recovering in price, but not sales. We have recovered in sales, but not price. When prices of Ormond Beach homes for sale and other area homes start to rise, we expect a mini-boom if people panic about getting what they see as a once in a lifetime bargain.

Mortgage rates and inflation are tied together. Watch both because if you are financing, it can cost you a lot. A big jump in inflation rates will boost mortgage rates. Here’s what happens:

Monthly Payment for a $200,000 mortgage at 5.14% = $1,090.82

Monthly Payment for a $200,000 mortgage at 5.44% = $1,128.06

Monthly Payment for a $200,000 mortgage at 6.00% = $1,199.10

Monthly Payment for a $200,000 mortgage at 6.5% = $1,264.14

Rates going from 5.14% to 6.5% is not unrealistic. Remember 1980s Interest Rates.

Is Now the Right Time to Buy?

We think it’s a good time to buy, but don’t take our word. Look at the 426 people who bought homes and condos in May. 1835 votes were cast by buyers so far this year, 30.4% more than last year and 57.1% more than in 2008. The people who vote with their money are the people we watch.

We are concerned about inflation. We believe there will be higher inflation to pay for record government spending and borrowing. It’s a matter of when, not if. If you are financing and qualify now, consider the value of having a 5% mortgage rate if rates go to 7, 8 or 9%.

Please give me a call at 386-566-7503 to discuss the market and your options.

Positive Sales Trend Continues for Daytona Beach Real Estate

February 2010 Daytona Beach real estate sales continued a positive trend with a 27.7% increase over February a year ago, and a 14.4% increase over January sales. The numbers reported from the Daytona Beach MLS show the continued improvement we’ve seen over the past 14 months.

Looking at the chart below, we can see that sales under $200,000 continue to dominate the market.

Daytona Beach Real Estate Sales February 2010

This is the highest percentage sales that we’ve seen in that price range since we’ve started tracking over three years ago. When sales under $300,000 are considered, 92.1% of all sales come from the lower end of the market. A total of only 28 homes and condos were sold over $300,000.

The reason for sales dominance in the lower price ranges is that many people are finding what they are looking for. Distressed properties in the form of short sales and foreclosures are keeping prices down. There is also the factor that many of these properties need work. I have seen kitchen cabinets, plumbing fixtures and even wood flooring removed from distressed properties. That further lowers the value and the price of these properties.

Median sales of Daytona Beach homes and condos came in at $110,000 in February. The median is the middle point of the distribution of sales – one-half above and one-half below. This low value is no surprise when 44% of sales came in at under $100,000, and 79.5% were under $200,000. As long as this high a percentage of sales is in the lower price ranges, median values will stay low.

First Half 2009 Daytona Beach Home Sales Up

1735 Daytona Beach homes and condos were sold in the first half of this year. That’s up from 1433 in the first half of 2008’s for a 21% improvement. What’s interesting is to see where the sales are coming from.

Looking at the table below, we can see that over 73% of all sales were under $200,000. This continues the trend that we saw over all of 2008. Sales of high-end homes in the area, above $500,000 are still languishing at about 4%.

As of this morning, 366 sales were recorded in July in the Daytona Beach MLS. That number will go up as agents add all of the sales from the end of the month on Friday.

So sales are up 21%, and the trend continues with sales stronger at the lower end of the market. We don’t see this changing anytime in the near future. Buyers are taking advantage of the values at the lower end of the market. Foreclosures and short sales are offering tremendous bargains to patient buyers, especially for short sales that can take months to conclude.

But, Buyer Beware. Just because a house or condo appears to be a great bargain, you still need to buy with a eye to future sales. In that respect, all properties are not created equal. When values do rise again, and they will, some areas will rise faster than others. Buy smart now, for the highest appreciation in the future.